Mission Statement

Information disseminated through the traditional financial news outlets is often subject to a hidden agenda. At best the information is misguided and at worst deliberately misleading. With a combined 60+ years of experience in the financial markets, we intend to help the reader separate fact from fiction and expose the news that actually moves markets.

If you don’t read the newspaper you are uninformed, if you do read the newspaper you are misinformed.
–Mark Twain

RCM Manages the Fortune's Favor Family of Funds:

  • Fortune's Favor I (Long/Short US equity)
  • Fortune's Favor Offshore (offshore clients)
  • Fortune's Favor Precious Metals
Showing posts with label white house. Show all posts
Showing posts with label white house. Show all posts

Monday, November 30, 2009

Stock Market Investing: The Dubai Implications, Investment Strategy: Generational Move Unfolding For Gold and Silver Prices

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The news that the sovereign wealth fund of Dubai requested a postponement of billions of dollars of debt this week could pose a big problem for U.S. banks...

...Bove said the underlying problem is that there is a lot of uncertainty floating around. For example, there's little information available about counterparty derivatives, guarantees that transfer default risk from lenders to other financial institutions. And it's unknown how much of Dubai World's debt guarantee is held by U.S. banks. Read More...

Stock Market Investing: The above story along with many others have filled the airwaves and blogosphere over the last 4 days. I will refrain from adding my voice to the din. Moreover, endeavoring to postulate on the repercussions seems to me a fool's errand. The sheer plethora of moving parts and back room deals makes a supposition worthless.

I will, however, offer some insight to a more pressing question: How will this event effect the US$, the equity markets and the price of Gold?

An avid reader of this blog will find the answer both simple and familiar. Bad news on the global economic front equates to good news for the U.S. equity markets and the price of precious metals, Gold and Silver.

Investment Strategy: The legend for deciphering this market environment:

Neg.Eco.News = Con't.Q.E.; (Q.E. = Quantitative Easing; catchall for liquidity creation)

Con't.Q.E. = Con't.US$.Dval.; (US$. Dval = US$ devaluation)

Con't. US$.Dval = Exponential Gold and Silver price increases + higher US equity prices

This legend, in all likelihood, will remain in force until major policy changes occur within the White House, U.S. Treasury and Fed. Never in history has the systematic devaluation of a currency led to sustained economic recovery and long-term growth. However, without fail, said devaluation leads to inflation, often hyperinflation, and a flight out of the currency into hard assets. The move unfolding in the price of Gold and Silver will be for most unimaginable, but for the few, the proud, the aware, it will be a move of a lifetime.

Friday, November 20, 2009

Happy Turkey Day, White House Evaluates Growth Measures, How Geithner Got His Nickname


I'd like to say on behalf of the entire staff here at RCM, Happy Turkey Day.

Speaking of turkeys, I'd like to offer some food for thought on this holiday of epicurean indulgence.

You will find at the top of the menu, an appetizer prepared by the White House. As usual, this chef offers up fare that looks good upon presentation but falls short on execution. I find today's offering has subtle hints of desperation and longing that are overwhelmed buy strong tones of oxymoronic balderdash....

White House says evaluating "sensible and reasonable" measures to spur US growth - Reuters

As a main course, we are, in fact, serving turkey. This particular turkey you will know by another name, Pinocchio. A few have wondered why I anointed Tim Geithner, Pinocchio. Some have even questioned my motives. To the simple son, I say read the following account of Pinocchio's behavior and learn. To the wicked son, I will continue on this biblical vein and say, "With all thy getting, get understanding."....

A brutal report issued Monday by a government watchdog holds Timothy Geithner -- then the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York and now the nation's Treasury Secretary -- responsible for overpayments that put billions of extra tax dollars in the coffers of major Wall Street firms, most notably Goldman Sachs.
Read More...